Rainmaker — Upset Special Bracket 2026

First Four

Mar 17-18

Round of 64

Mar 19-20

Round of 32

Mar 21-22

Sweet 16

Mar 26-27

Elite Eight

Mar 28-29

Final Four

Apr 4

Championship

Apr 6

First Round Upsets

R32 Upsets

S16+ Upsets

Cinderella

McNeese S16

Champion

ARIZONA

East

1Duke

16Siena

8Ohio State

9TCU

5St. John's

12Northern Iowa

4Kansas

13Cal Baptist

6Louisville

11South Florida

3Michigan St.

14N. Dakota St.

7UCLA

10UCFUPSET

2UConn

15Furman

Round of 32

1Duke

9TCU

5St. John'sUPSET

4Kansas

6Louisville

3Michigan St.

10UCF

2UConn

Sweet 16

1Duke

5St. John's

3Michigan St.

2UConn

Elite Eight

1Duke

2UConnUPSET

Final Four

2UConnFF

1Michigan

National Champion

ARIZONA

(1) West Region

Arizona 74 - UConn 68

1Arizona

3Illinois

Championship Total

142

Elite Eight

1Arizona

3Gonzaga

Sweet 16

1Arizona

4Arkansas

3GonzagaUPSET

2Purdue

Round of 32

1Arizona

9Utah State

12High Point

4Arkansas

6BYU

3Gonzaga

10Missouri

2Purdue

West

1Arizona

16Long Island

8Villanova

9Utah StateUPSET

5Wisconsin

12High PointUPSET

4Arkansas

13Hawai'i

6BYU

11FF Winner

3Gonzaga

14Kennesaw St.

7Miami

10MissouriUPSET

2Purdue

15Queens

South

1Florida

16Lehigh/PV

8Clemson

9IowaUPSET

5Vanderbilt

12McNeeseUPSET

4Nebraska

13Troy

6North Carolina

11VCUUPSET

3Illinois

14Penn

7Saint Mary's

10Texas A&MUPSET

2Houston

15Idaho

Round of 32

1Florida

9Iowa

12McNeeseRUN

4Nebraska

11VCU

3Illinois

10Texas A&M

2Houston

Sweet 16

1Florida

12McNeese

3IllinoisUPSET

2Houston

Elite Eight

1Florida

3IllinoisUPSET

KEY UPSET LOGIC

          5v12 upset rate: 35.6%

          7v10 upset rate: 38.8%

          8v9 upset rate: 48.8%

          6v11 upset rate: 36.9%

          UConn: 2 titles (Hurley)

          Illinois AdjOE: 131.2 (#1)

          McNeese: 28-5 record

          VCU: FF pedigree as 11

Elite Eight

1Michigan

2Iowa State

Sweet 16

1Michigan

4Alabama

6TennesseeUPSET

2Iowa State

Round of 32

1Michigan

9Saint Louis

12Akron

4Alabama

6TennesseeUPSET

3Virginia

10Santa Clara

2Iowa State

Midwest

1Michigan

16Howard/UMBC

8Georgia

9Saint LouisUPSET

5Texas Tech

12AkronUPSET

4Alabama

13Hofstra

6Tennessee

11FF Winner

3Virginia

14Wright State

7Kentucky

10Santa ClaraUPSET

2Iowa State

15Tennessee St.