**Strategy Type**: Single bets on **moneyline home wins** for games where the home team is deemed a "favorite" using a data-driven proxy (pre-game points-per-game percentage from BallDontLie standings, as the API provides game outcomes and team stats but not historical betting odds). This is a simple, medium-risk flat-stake strategy suitable for intermediate bettors.\n\n**Key Logic**:\n- Fetch all La Liga games for the 2024 season via BallDontLie API.\n- Process games chronologically.\n- Before each game, calculate each team's current points % (points / (games played * 3)) using cumulative stats.\n- Bet on home moneyline if home team's points % > away team's points %.\n- Assume average decimal odds of **1.80** (-125 American equivalent) for home favorites (conservative estimate based on soccer market data; adjust based on real odds).\n- Flat stake: 1% of bankroll or fixed unit (e.g., $10).\n- Track win rate, ROI, total profit, and bankroll curve.\n\n**Performance Expectations** (Hypothetical based on general La Liga data):\n- ~100-150 bets/season.\n- Expected win rate: 58-62%.\n- ROI: 2-8% if odds hold (breakeven at ~55.6% wins for 1.80 odds).\n- Run the code below for exact 2024 results.\n\n**Improvements**:\n- Integrate real historical odds (e.g., from Odds Archive API).\n- Add recent form filter (last 5 games points %).\n- Avoid bets if points % difference < 5%.\n- Bankroll management: Kelly criterion for medium risk.\n\n**Limitations**: BallDontLie provides excellent game/stats data but no odds. Proxy used for "favorites." Verify API league slug (`la_liga` or `laliga`); test endpoint. 2024 season covers 2023-24 + partial 2024-25 depending on API.\n\nCopy-paste and run in your environment (requires `requests`, `matplotlib`). Fetches live data from BallDontLie.\n\n**Next Steps**: Run the code— it will fetch data, compute results, and plot the profit curve. Tweak `assumed_decimal_odds` or add odds integration for precision. For parlays/round robins on top favorites, let me know! Check official sources like OddsPortal for real odds validation.\n\n⚠️ **Backtesting Note:** The live backtest could not complete in chat. For full backtesting with detailed metrics, charts, and CSV export, please use the **Strategy Playground** tab above - it processes strategies faster and more reliably!